Predictions: May 2009

NPD video game sales data for May 2009 will be released this Thursday.

Predictions

Format: “Total Hardware” (“Weekly Hardware” | “% change of weekly sales over April”)

Wii: 360k ( 90k | +5.88% )
360: 180k ( 45k | +2.86% )
PS3: 116k ( 29k | –8.66% )
PS2: 156k ( 39k | –9.30% )
NDS: 680k ( 170k | –34.62% )
PSP: 108k ( 27k | –6.90% )

Notes regarding my predictions:

  • Though NDS will see the biggest % drop in May, that’s only because DSi launched to strong sales in April. It will be interesting to see where sales normalize going forward.
  • The PS3 situation is something to keep an eye on – sales have been low all year, and without a counterpart to Metal Gear Solid 4 (released in 2008) to ride through the summer, things could get pretty bleak over the next few months. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a month of sub 100k sales.

Actual sales data from The NPD Group will be released on Thursday, June 11th after market close (4:00 PM).

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